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Financing

Is It a House or Is It “Housing?”

May 14, 2013 By Rick Jarvis

cantor
Congressman Eric Cantor was kind enough to listen to what a panel from the RAR (including yours truly) had to say back in 2011 about the lending policies of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

I live in a HOUSEand you live in a HOUSE, but collectively, we live in HOUSING.

Please explain…

Individually, we buy a house (or condo) that fits our needs and personality.  It can be big or small or it can be blue or beige or tall or short, but it is our house.  It contains our stuff and it contains our memories.  It has pictures on the walls of the people, places and things that are important to us and it creaks and moans when the wind blows…and we know where the water shut off valve is (because of ‘The Incident’ back in 2007.)  We also know that flushing the toilet in the master bath while the washing machine is running means an immediate increase in the shower temperature by about 20 degrees.

Once again, it is our house.

That being said, the US is comprised of millions of houses just like yours and mine.  This collection of millions of homes makes up the market called ‘HOUSING’ and it is what shot to the moon in 2006 and was in free fall in 2008.  The US Housing Market is a complex collection of numerous inputs (supply, demand, credit, Mortgage Insurance, schools, materials, seasonality, type, location, density, demographics, etc.) and it is these factors collectively that drive value.   Despite what HGTV, Pottery Barn and Home Depot would have us believe, it is not our paint colors, furniture placement or lighting selections that truly affect value.

[ Inventory levels have plummeted since 2008 while pending inventory is trending upwards.  More stats here ]

Currently (spring of 2013), we are in the throws of another massive correction…but this time to the positive.  The correction that we are currently experiencing is a re-correction from the over-correction that occurred from 2008-2011.  During the 5 year period prior to 2008, prices rose at an unsustainable pace due mostly due to a lending process that was flawed.  The severity of the correction was due, in large part, from the UN-availability of credit once the market adjusted.  The overall leverage in the marketplace in 2008 was unprecedented, especially when compared to historic trends, and when values began to fall, the debt levels exacerbated the correction on a level unseen in most of our lifetimes.  The implosion of the market either caused (or was caused by, depending on who is asked) the implosion of Wall Street and the fallout in the credit market was global.

The lesson in all of this is that the HOUSING MARKET determines the value of homes and not Realtors, an appraiser, Zillow or the individual homeowner’s selections.  Without a doubt, the most important inputs to the local market are controlled well outside of the region.  While design trends and color palates may affect pricing to some degree, by and large, the swings in value that are significant are driven by MACRO factors.  A paint job will not improve your property values by 10% but a policy shift in DC sure can.  Simply put, when there are more homes than buyers, prices go down and when there are more buyers than homes, prices go up.  Those who are truly shrewd investors understand this and strategize accordingly.

Remember to keep these macro factors in mind when making the decision to purchase.  I see so many buyers fail to understand the overall picture and in doing so may let a home pass over an inspection item or negotiations break down over a few thousand dollars.  In the grand scheme of things, owing property now, at the interest rates currently available is likely to be one of the most intelligent financial decisions you will make.

These extremely favorable market conditions will continue to be for the next 12-24 months as we correct back to trend.  Keep an eye on the inventory levels and interest rates.  When the graphs look like they did in 2003-5, we are back to a stable and (relatively) predictable market.

The re-correction is not over but it is in mid-process and the days to purchase an large asset at a discount are ending sometime in the foreseeable future.   Serious consideration should be given to the opportunity to enter, re-enter or adjust one’s housing situation as these market conditions are fleeting.

Understanding Condo Dues

April 14, 2013 By Rick Jarvis

ginter-condo-256x144_optSomeone should write a condo app. The app wouldn’t sell anything or make sounds or track anything. It would simply be an app that brokers could point their clients to once the litany of questions about condo dues comes up.

And they will come up.

While some of the questions I get, pretty much on a daily basis, are quite astute and on point, many indicate a complete lack of understanding of what “dues” really are. And that isn’t an easy concept to explain. A sentence or two usually won’t do the job. It can take not one but two agents—the purchasing and sales agents—to get a buyer comfortable with the idea of dues.

Condos are still relatively new to Richmond. In Downtown Richmond seven years ago, condos didn’t really exist. The rapid rise and growth of condos in the city created a steep learning curve for both the Realtor community as well as the buyers. Many agents went out of their way to understand the intricacies of condo ownership. And they’re better for it. But more than a few agents punted, and this lack of knowledge has given rise to too many buying agents feeding their clients bad information.

newIMG_7643
The Marshall Street Bakery has a dues structure lower than the Emrick Flats despite a largely similar profile. What is the difference?

I’ve taken it upon myself to give back to our fine real estate community and once and for all explain condo dues.

For starters, this is not a true statement – SINGLE FAMILY HOMES DO NOT HAVE DUES. If you are a buyer and your agent tells you this, show them the door. They don’t understand dues.  Let me repeat, if your agent tells you that single family homes do not have dues, then fire them.

Single-family houses have dues….you just aren’t made aware of them in the same way as you would be with a condo.

Before we go any further, let’s apply some numbers so that we know what we are talking about.

The majority of the condos in Richmond have a dues structure of roughly $2.50 – 3.50 per square foot per year of dues expense.  Let’s use an example: a 1,000 square foot condo with a parking garage and an elevator will typically generate $200-300 per month in dues, or somewhere in the neighborhood of $3,000 a year.

Do you get a water or sewer bill at your home? Well, in a condo, water and sewer is typically a part of your dues ($200-300 per year is about right in most places).

How about hazard insurance? A group of condos must be insured by the association. Therefore, the vast majority of your insurance bill is included in your dues (about $500-700 per year).

So before you get worked up about high condo fees, think about what normal operating expenditures are included in them, and what you won’t be paying in the normal course of business.

The second (and most misunderstood) component of dues is the maintenance and reserve budget.

osrg_vcu_poster_final
The condo options within the ‘VCU Bubble’ all offer different dues structures. Make sure to compare services as part of your analysis of the overall cost of ownership.

Do you have a roof on your single-family home? I’m going to go out on a limb and say yes. What does that cost to replace? A lot. When will it happen? When you can least afford it. Are you putting any money away for that replacement? Probably not, right?

The condo people are.

How about those exterior walls you see every day? What does it cost to keep them painted or cleaned? What does it cost to replace the rotten siding or wood trim? Are you putting money away for this repair?

The condo people are.

Each month, the condo association stuffs some portion of the dues go into an account for future repairs and maintenance. In lieu of waiting for the repair to be needed and then asking for each person to put up their pro-rata share, the money is available. If the repair is not needed, then the money is not spent. It is sitting in an account, ready when needed.

But there’s more. Who mows the lawn? Who cleans your pool? Who cleans your gutters? Ahh, you’re starting to understand condo fees, right?

When you think about it, putting $2,000 a year towards both current AND future repairs seems to make a lot of sense, right?  When you’re paying 100 percent of the repair and maintenance expense for your house, and you encounter some big-ticket items, your checkbook will feel that pain. Look at the last year. Better yet, look back five years at what you spent on maintenance. My bet is that living in a condo is actually cheaper than living in a single-family home when the entire cost of ownership it truly examined.

Here’s the takeaway—all improved properties (single-family, commercial, apartment, condominiums) have “dues” by one name or another. The question is whether or not they are paid collectively in advance (as they are in condos) or in a lump sum in arrears (as they are on a single-family home). To say that one property type has dues and one does not is foolish, especially if you’re using dues as a deciding factor in your purchase decision. You have to dig deep to make it an apples-to-apples equation.

Lay it all out on a spreadsheet and review the condo association’s budget (which by law you have the right to do) and then make your decision. There are a lot of factors you should consider when thinking about condo living. But don’t let condo dues have too much influence, at least without truly understanding exactly how they measure up to single-family living.

Ginter Park and Ginter Place

March 28, 2013 By Rick Jarvis

ginter condo_optI really have become a fan of Ginter Park.

In April of 2012, we were asked to take over the lead sales of the Ginter Place project (the old Richmond Memorial Hospital Complex) along Westwood Avenue.  The hospital complex abuts both the Laburnum House and the Baptist Theological Seminary Campus at the corner of Westwood Avenue and Brook Road.  The Union Theological Seminary is also within sight of the east side of the condo tower which really helps frame the views…especially from the upper floors.

GP logo{ Click Here for Condos For Sale at Ginter Place }

In 2003 (or so), a group of investors purchased the entire site when Richmond Memorial moved to Midlothian.  It was a large undertaking, to say the least.

GP Overhead

After a rather contentious period of negotiations with the Ginter Park Neighborhood Association, the first phase of the project, the condominiums in the old hospital complex, went live in early 2008.  As history has shown, 2008 was not kind to ANY housing project, much less an upscale condo project targeting downsizing buyers.  Needless to say, it fell flat.  While the reasons are many, it is safe to assume that even the best conceived and executed projects brought to market in 2008 would have experienced similar outcomes.

ginter street scape
Ginter Park’s pedestrian-friendly nature means a casual stroll may not lead to anywhere in particular but enjoyment along the way.

Fast forward to 2013 and the environment has changed.  Lending, sales, inventory and overall public perception of the market has turned from thoroughly negative to fairly positive and the real strengths of both the project and the neighborhood are emerging.  The condos are large and well appointed with an excess of both features and finishes in excess of all competitive products.

They have begun to sell quite well.

I find it interesting that while Ginter Place has begun to experience the sales success that it should have experienced had 2008-2012 not occurred, it is still under most of the Realtor’s (and their client’s) radar.  I think that Ginter Park, and to much the same extent, Bellevue, are still largely misunderstood by much of Richmond…and that is truly unfortunate.  Despite some of the most powerful architecture of the era and with a diversity in design unseen in Richmond, the homes of Ginter Park and Bellevue trade at a discount to many other comparable neighborhoods.  While the reasons for the value bias are as diverse as the design of the homes there, probably the biggest reason is that the large majority of the market does not truly understand the area.  The many neighborhoods that comprise North Richmond are misunderstood mostly because the subtleties that drive values are not apparent to those not engaged in figuring them out.

{ Click Here for Homes for Sale in Ginter Park and Bellevue }

ginter park
The homes along Seminary Avenue rival those along any stretch in Richmond.

Without a doubt, my favorite part of Ginter Park is the architecture.  While the interior layouts of the homes can be a little antiquated with smaller closets and less ‘open concept,’ the exterior presence of the homes in Ginter Park are as striking as any in Richmond.  Despite a relatively tight time period for construction, the diversity of architecture is stunning.  Cottages, Bungalows, ‘Four Squares,’ Arts and Crafts and Tudors with brick, stucco and different sidings all can be found.  Even the relatively benign colonial designs are more engaging due to side porches and larger, manicured yards.  For those that wish to see some of Richmond’s finest homes, a leisurely drive up Seminary Avenue will result in some jaw-dropping residential design unrivaled in the Metro.

Ginter Park deserves to be understood better than it currently is and we hope that the brokerage community invests the time required to truly understand the power of the neighborhood.

 

 

We Bought an Office!

December 30, 2012 By Rick Jarvis

2012-12-11 12.16.07We recently closed on 2314 W Main Street as the future home of One South.

Sometimes known as the Richmond Kickers Building (as it was at one time the home of the soccer team and the mural on the side and front are well known), it is an 8000 SF warehouse that is being renovated into our new home.

When complete, we will have 4500 SF dedicated to office use and 5 apartments.

 

RVA Affordability and Taxes

November 11, 2011 By Rick Jarvis

In this video I discuss the prices and local tax rates you should expect to find for typical suburban housing (e.g., 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath, 2 car garage) in the Richmond Virginia area including the surrounding counties.

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I am Kendall C. Kendall, Client Care Coordinator for the team. I am a licensed Realtor and it is my job to answer questions and schedule showings for the properties shown on our sites. Here's our call policy.

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Working With Buyers

I am Sarah Jarvis, Broker at One South and I work with our buyers. I bring 20+ years of experience to our Buyers Advocacy program and take great pride in helping our clients understand the RVA marketplace.

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From the Blog

Yesterday, Today or Tomorrow…Which Matters Most?

As the snow melts, the flowers begin to bloom and the birds (and bugs) emerge, so do For Sale signs. The spring market is when the large number of homes in our marketplace will transact. Sometimes it is January and sometimes March, but once the weather breaks and summer vacation seems almost …

[Read More...] about Yesterday, Today or Tomorrow…Which Matters Most?

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How Do I Schedule a Showing?

I am Kendall C. Kendall, Client Care Coordinator for the team. I am a licensed Realtor and it is my job to answer questions and schedule showings for the properties shown on our sites. Here's our call policy.
kendall@richmondvamls.net

804.909.0184


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